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Statistics Theory

Authors and titles for recent submissions

  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026
  • Thu, 25 Jun 2026
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026
  • Tue, 23 Jun 2026

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Total of 67 entries : 1-50 51-67
Showing up to 50 entries per page: fewer | more | all

Mon, 29 Jun 2026 (showing 6 of 6 entries )

[1] arXiv:2606.28324 [pdf, html, other]
Title: The multiply iterated law of the iterated logarithm: game-theoretic foundations of sequential detection boundaries
Akshay Balsubramani
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[2] arXiv:2606.28053 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Global convergence analysis of mixtures of Exponential densities
Rajita Chandak, Kathryn Dullerud
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[3] arXiv:2606.27899 [pdf, other]
Title: Optimal Estimators for Heavy-Tailed Mean Estimation via Convex Analysis
Bart P.G. van Parys, Bert Zwart
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Optimization and Control (math.OC); Probability (math.PR)
[4] arXiv:2606.27564 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Fast-Mixing Markov Chains without Gradients
Robert Kutri, Robert Scheichl
Comments: preprint
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computation (stat.CO)
[5] arXiv:2606.28309 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Surprises in Proper Positive-Only Learning
Shai Ben-David, Farnam Mansouri, Anay Mehrotra, Manolis Zampetakis
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[6] arXiv:2606.27774 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Variational Formulas for the Spectrum of Block Wishart Matrices
Andrea Montanari, Basil Saeed
Comments: 26 pages
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST)

Fri, 26 Jun 2026 (showing 9 of 9 entries )

[7] arXiv:2606.26652 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Scalable Operator Learning via Nyström Approximation With Denoising Applications
Naveen Gupta, Vaibhav Silmana, S. Sivananthan
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[8] arXiv:2606.26270 [pdf, html, other]
Title: On the optimal prediction of extreme events
Benjamin Bobbia, Stilian Stoev
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[9] arXiv:2606.27349 (cross-list from cs.IT) [pdf, html, other]
Title: All you need is log
Akshay Balsubramani
Comments: 51 pages, 6 figures
Subjects: Information Theory (cs.IT); Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[10] arXiv:2606.27298 (cross-list from cs.DS) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Fast algorithms for learning a Gaussian under halfspace truncation with optimal sample complexity
Haitong Liu, Deepak Narayanan Sridharan, David Steurer, Manuel Wiedmer
Comments: 88 pages; accepted at the 39th Annual Conference on Learning Theory (COLT 2026)
Subjects: Data Structures and Algorithms (cs.DS); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[11] arXiv:2606.26931 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Semiparametric Inference for Half-Trek Estimators in Linear Structural Equation Models
Leopold Mareis, Nils Sturma, Mathias Drton
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[12] arXiv:2606.26818 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Optimizing Experimental Design for Causal Effect Estimation with Partial Measurements
Leopold Mareis
Comments: Published at the 6th Pacific Causal Inference Conference (PCIC 2024)
Journal-ref: Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 2200, pp 74-85, Springer, Singapore, 2025
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[13] arXiv:2606.26781 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Multiple testing
Jesse Hemerik
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[14] arXiv:2606.26464 (cross-list from cs.IT) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Low-PAPR, Synchronization-Robust Non-Coherent Grassmannian Modulation for Optical Communications
Eylon E. Krause
Subjects: Information Theory (cs.IT); Signal Processing (eess.SP); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[15] arXiv:2606.26136 (cross-list from cs.SI) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Bayesian Predictive Synthesis for Dynamic Networks: Forecasting and Identifying Structural Mechanisms
Marios Papamichalis, Regina Ruane, Theofanis Papamichalis
Comments: Preprint
Subjects: Social and Information Networks (cs.SI); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)

Thu, 25 Jun 2026 (showing 18 of 18 entries )

[16] arXiv:2606.26073 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Bayesian Nonparametric Privacy-Preserving Synthetic Data Generation: I. Discrete Data
Maria Chiara Menicucci, Mario Beraha, Stefano Favaro, Riccardo Lazzarini
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[17] arXiv:2606.25947 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Finite-sample bounds for regularized optimal transport
Alberto González-Sanz, Marcel Nutz, Austin J. Stromme
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[18] arXiv:2606.25790 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Group invariance of $f$-divergences and the Fisher--Rao distance
Frank Nielsen, Kazuki Okamura
Comments: 15 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Information Theory (cs.IT)
[19] arXiv:2606.25771 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Pointwise Hurst Estimation via Scale Accumulation: A Noise-Robust Approach for Rough Volatility
Jokubas Petkevicius
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[20] arXiv:2606.25521 [pdf, other]
Title: Two-sample test with Wasserstein distance on Gaussian samples based on a log-normal approximation
Johann Clément-Cottuz (UNIROUEN, LITIS, LITIS - App), Maxime Bérar (UNIROUEN, LITIS, LITIS - App), Gilles Gasso (INSA Rouen Normandie, LITIS, LITIS - App)
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[21] arXiv:2606.25492 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Closed-form solutions to some generalized variational inference problems
Hien Duy Nguyen, Jacob Westerhout
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[22] arXiv:2606.25346 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Quantitative Wasserstein Propagation of Chaos for Transport Ensemble Filters
Frederic J. N. Jorgensen, Ricardo Baptista, Franca Hoffmann, Youssef Marzouk
Comments: 63 pages, 1 figure
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computation (stat.CO)
[23] arXiv:2606.25169 [pdf, other]
Title: Laplace--Fisher Gate Identities for Optimal Matrix-Gated Blended Score Estimation
Alois Duston, Tan Bui Tanh
Comments: Provisional report
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
[24] arXiv:2606.24987 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Sample complexity of unbalanced entropic OT
Francisco Andrade, Gabriel Peyré, Clarice Poon
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
[25] arXiv:2606.26061 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Deviance-style normalization for jointly overdispersed counts
Akshay Balsubramani
Comments: 82 pages, 20 figures
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Quantitative Methods (q-bio.QM); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[26] arXiv:2606.25968 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, other]
Title: Studentized Cheap Bootstrap: Achieving Higher-Order Coverage Accuracy with Low Computation
Shengyi He, Henry Lam, Yunhao Yan
Comments: 75 pages, 7 figures
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[27] arXiv:2606.25967 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Slice Monte Carlo Integration
Johannes K. Krondorfer, Christian W. Binder, Matthias Neumann, Wolfgang von der Linden
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computation (stat.CO)
[28] arXiv:2606.25729 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Theory of Bootstrap Coverage Calibration for Generalized Posterior Credible Sets
Masahiro Tanaka
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computation (stat.CO)
[29] arXiv:2606.25715 (cross-list from math.NA) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Gap-Aware Exact Nonnegative Matrix Factorization: A Two-Sided SVD Gauge and a Three-Regime W-Rank Taxonomy
Mithil Ramteke
Comments: 16 pages. Companion to arXiv:2606.22451. Code: this https URL
Subjects: Numerical Analysis (math.NA); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[30] arXiv:2606.25601 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, other]
Title: Statistically Valid Hyperparameter Selection: From Tuning to Guarantees
Amirmohammad Farzaneh, Osvaldo Simeone
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Information Theory (cs.IT); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[31] arXiv:2606.25494 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, other]
Title: A functional central limit theorem for kernel gradient flow and infinitesimal gradient boosting
Clément Dombry (LMB), Jean-Jil Duchamps (LMB)
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[32] arXiv:2606.25441 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, html, other]
Title: On the L{é}vy concentration function of Gaussian quadratic forms with applications to second order U-statistics
Abhimanyu Choudhary, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[33] arXiv:2606.25042 (cross-list from cs.IT) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Information from coincidences
Akshay Balsubramani
Comments: 78 pages, 16 figures, 7 tables. Submitted to NeurIPS 2026. A mixed coincidence partition function gives Sanov, Chernoff, PAC-Bayes, and Renyi as corollaries
Subjects: Information Theory (cs.IT); Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

Wed, 24 Jun 2026 (showing 12 of 12 entries )

[34] arXiv:2606.24771 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Autoregressive Processes on Riemannian Manifolds
Meshal Abuqrais, Davide Pigoli
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[35] arXiv:2606.24768 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Strong duality for the GROW criterion
Ashwin Ram, Martin Larsson, Johannes Ruf, Aaditya Ramdas
Comments: 34 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computer Science and Game Theory (cs.GT); Information Theory (cs.IT); Probability (math.PR); Methodology (stat.ME)
[36] arXiv:2606.24766 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Concentration Inequality for the Covariance Matrix of an Arbitrary Subset of Random Vectors
Huikang Liu, Peng Wang, Laura Balzano
Comments: 29 pages, 2 figures, 1 table
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Optimization and Control (math.OC)
[37] arXiv:2606.24519 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Ferguson's Dirichlet Process Breakthrough: A Lasting Legacy
Antonio Lijoi, Igor Pruenster, Junyi Zhang
Comments: 43 pages, 4 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[38] arXiv:2606.24345 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Explicit confidence bands and intervals for distribution functions and their derivatives via random Weierstrass-type operators
José A. Adell, J. T. Alcalá, C. Sangüesa
Comments: 33 pages, 2 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[39] arXiv:2606.23882 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Order restricted estimation of the parameter functions in an additive hazard model
Dragi Anevski, ElBatoul Manel Merai
Comments: 18 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[40] arXiv:2606.24621 (cross-list from math.CT) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Infinitesimal Causality
Sridhar Mahadevan
Comments: 17 pages
Subjects: Category Theory (math.CT); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[41] arXiv:2606.24465 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, other]
Title: History estimation in random recursive trees: Pointwise approach via iterated Jordan centralities
Johannes Bäumler, Simon Briend, Joost Jorritsma
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[42] arXiv:2606.24357 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Bayesian Variable Selection in Generalized Linear Models
Lucia Filippozzi, Iñigo Urteaga, Claudio Agostinelli
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Computation (stat.CO)
[43] arXiv:2606.23962 (cross-list from math.AP) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Delay-Penalty Comparison for Sequential Testing and Quickest Detection in State-Dependent Diffusion Models
Ye Liang
Subjects: Analysis of PDEs (math.AP); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[44] arXiv:2606.23867 (cross-list from cs.LG) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Exact Schur-Sylvester Dimensionality Reductions for Non-Smooth Stochastic Complexity and Manifold Sampling
Trenton Lau, Gary P. T. Choi
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Information Theory (cs.IT); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[45] arXiv:2606.23777 (cross-list from quant-ph) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Connecting Quantum Tomography and Quantum Retrodiction
Sebastian Murk, Ian Tan, Fabian Müller, Dominik Šafránek
Comments: 5+7 pages, 3 figures
Subjects: Quantum Physics (quant-ph); Mathematical Physics (math-ph); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)

Tue, 23 Jun 2026 (showing first 5 of 22 entries )

[46] arXiv:2606.23054 [pdf, other]
Title: Uncovering commuting flows in Bike Sharing Systems
Mohamadou Salifou (LISST)
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[47] arXiv:2606.22993 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Generalized nonparametric regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces: Consistency and rates of convergence
Ioannis Kalogridis
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[48] arXiv:2606.22730 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Optimal Estimating Equations for Compact-Memory Hawkes Processes
Louis Davis, Conor Kresin
Comments: Both authors contributed equally to this work. 77 pages, 4 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[49] arXiv:2606.22391 [pdf, html, other]
Title: On the Asymptotic Inadmissibility of Double Machine Learning Estimators Under Structure-Agnostic Models
Lin Liu, Rajarshi Mukherjee, James M Robins
Comments: 27 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Econometrics (econ.EM); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[50] arXiv:2606.22105 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A Generative Model for Extremely Sparse Edge-Exchangeable Networks
Valentin Kilian
Comments: Accepted to the Structured Probabilistic Inference & Generative Modeling workshop at ICML 2026
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
Total of 67 entries : 1-50 51-67
Showing up to 50 entries per page: fewer | more | all
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